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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium

Al-Duhail
4 - 3
Esteghlal

Olunga (10', 27', 85'), Abdulsalam (43')
Ali (59')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Arsalan Motahari (4'), Diabate (34'), Esmaeili (74')
Diabate (67')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Duhail and Esteghlal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.

Result
Al-DuhailDrawEsteghlal
44.57%23.25%32.17%
Both teams to score 62.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61%38.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.32%60.68%
Al-Duhail Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37%17.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77%48.22%
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43%23.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36%57.63%
Score Analysis
    Al-Duhail 44.57%
    Esteghlal 32.17%
    Draw 23.25%
Al-DuhailDrawEsteghlal
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 44.57%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-1 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head
May 6, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Esteghlal
1-1
Al-Duhail
Cheshmi (53')
Shojaeian (7'), Sohrabian (65')
Edmilson (55')
Ali (94')
Mar 5, 2019 3.15pm
Group Stage
Al-Duhail
3-0
Esteghlal
Benatia (56'), El-Arabi (73'), Afif (91')
Yasser (32')

Noorafkan (27'), Ghafouri (65')
rhs 2.0
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