Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.