Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Shorta win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Shorta win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.