AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 1pm UK
BG Stadium
Pathum Utd2 - 4Johor Darul
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between BG Pathum United and Johor Darul Ta'zim.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ulsan 3-1 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, September 19 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, September 19 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Johor Darul 0-1 Kawasaki
Tuesday, September 19 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, September 19 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.
Result | ||
BG Pathum United | Draw | Johor Darul Ta'zim |
33.29% ( -2.18) | 25.46% ( 0.16) | 41.25% ( 2.02) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.75% ( -1.13) | 48.25% ( 1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.6% ( -1.05) | 70.4% ( 1.04) |
BG Pathum United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( -1.85) | 27.64% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( -2.44) | 63.18% ( 2.44) |
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% ( 0.52) | 23.22% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% ( 0.75) | 57.13% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
BG Pathum United 33.3%
Johor Darul Ta'zim 41.25%
Draw 25.45%
BG Pathum United | Draw | Johor Darul Ta'zim |
1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.25% |
How you voted: Pathum Utd vs Johor Darul
BG Pathum United
71.4%Draw
14.3%Johor Darul Ta'zim
14.3%7
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-29 22:44:32
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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