AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Chang Arena
Buriram Utd0 - 2Melbourne City
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Buriram United and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Buriram Utd
Wednesday, October 4 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Wednesday, October 4 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-2 Western Utd
Saturday, October 21 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 21 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Buriram United | Draw | Melbourne City |
30.87% ( 0.55) | 22.55% ( -0.02) | 46.58% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 64.9% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% ( 0.42) | 35.56% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.38% ( 0.46) | 57.62% ( -0.45) |
Buriram United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% ( 0.53) | 22.95% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.26% ( 0.77) | 56.74% ( -0.77) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.23% ( -0.03) | 15.77% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.11% ( -0.06) | 44.89% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Buriram United 30.87%
Melbourne City 46.58%
Draw 22.55%
Buriram United | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.58% |
How you voted: Buriram Utd vs Melbourne City
Buriram United
62.5%Draw
12.5%Melbourne City
25.0%8
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-27 11:13:48
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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