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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 19, 2023 at 10.45am UK
AAMI Park
Sydney FC

Melbourne City
4 - 0
Sydney FC

Good (37'), Rodwell (59' og.), Tilio (67'), van der Venne (82')
Lam (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

King (28'), Brattan (43')
Burgess (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Friday, May 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Friday, May 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne City 2-1 Sydney FC

 There is going to be very little to split these two teams on Friday night, as has been the case throughout their previous three meetings this year, and it could be a cagey affair due to how much is on the line. However, with the home crowd backing them and their undefeated record in this stadium, Melbourne City could just edge this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
53.52% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 22.06% (-0.023 -0.02) 24.43% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.061999999999998 0.06)38.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (0.064 0.06)60.52% (-0.058 -0.06)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63% (0.048000000000002 0.05)14.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.75% (0.090000000000003 0.09)42.25% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.71% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 53.52%
    Sydney FC 24.43%
    Draw 22.06%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 24.43%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Sydney FC

Melbourne City
71.7%
Draw
17.4%
Sydney FC
10.9%
46
Head to Head
May 12, 2023 10.45am
Sydney FC
1-1
Melbourne City
Le Fondre (64' pen.)
King (70'), Corica (71'), Grant (77')
Leckie (18')
Good (88')
Feb 25, 2023 6am
gameweek 18
Melbourne City
3-2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (5', 30'), Tilio (13')
van der Venne (55'), Reis (90+5')
Mak (28'), Caballo (90+6')
Retre (56')
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 7
Sydney FC
2-1
Melbourne City
Lolley (23'), Le Fondre (61')
MacLaren (22' pen.)
Berisha (9')
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
gameweek 11
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 16
Sydney FC
1-2
Melbourne City
Ninkovic (53')
Grant (41'), O'Toole (66'), Barbarouses (90+2')
Retre (32' og.), Leckie (90+1')
Berenguer (72'), MacLaren (74')
rhs 2.0
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