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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Algeria
2 - 0
Eq Guinea

Aouar (70'), Gouiri (90+5')
Mandrea (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nlavo (33'), Coco (45+3'), Salvador (74'), Ndong (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Algeria and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions
Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Monday, June 10 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Algeria 2-1 Equatorial Guinea

 Algeria are gradually rebuilding their team under the new coach – their recent performance hinted at a promising future, while they also have an ongoing unbeaten streak in AFCON qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
AlgeriaDrawEquatorial Guinea
71.63% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05) 19.12% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 9.25% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 36.83% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)53.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)74.61%
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)13.56% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.35% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)40.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.6% (0.063000000000002 0.06)57.4% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.74% (0.035 0.04)89.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 71.61%
    Equatorial Guinea 9.25%
    Draw 19.12%
AlgeriaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 15.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 15.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 10.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 71.61%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 2.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.12%
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 9.25%

How you voted: Algeria vs Eq Guinea

Algeria
80.0%
Draw
7.5%
Equatorial Guinea
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Algeria
0-1
Eq Guinea

Bounedjah (4'), Bensebaini (8'), Mandi (45')
Obiang (70')
Ndong (9'), Bikoro (43'), Siafa (45'), Obiang (90+4')
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