Angola national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
Ghana national football team

Angola
1 - 1
Ghana

Joao (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bukari (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Angola and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Angola had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Angola win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AngolaDrawGhana
34.03% (-0.07 -0.07)29.82% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)36.15% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 42.57% (0.222 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.43% (0.264 0.26)64.57% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.41% (0.185 0.18)83.59% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (0.097999999999999 0.1)35.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.099999999999998 0.1)72.23% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (0.242 0.24)34.03% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.259 0.26)70.71% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Angola 34.02%
    Ghana 36.14%
    Draw 29.81%
AngolaDrawGhana
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 34.02%
1-1 @ 13.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.06% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.81%
0-1 @ 13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Angola vs Ghana

Angola
22.2%
Draw
20.0%
Ghana
57.8%
45
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 4pm
Ghana
1-0
Angola
Semenyo (90+6')

Paz (36'), Estrela (83')