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Ghana national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
Madagascar national football team

Ghana
3 - 0
Madagascar

Kudus (53'), Afena-Gyan (56'), Bukari (86')
Amartey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mombris (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ghana and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: CAR 1-1 Ghana
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ghana vs. Angola
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
Last Six:
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Madagascar vs. CAR
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ghana 2-0 Madagascar

Ghana will be licking their lips as they begin their quest for a place in the 2023 AFCON against an opposing side who have managed just one win since 2019. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are backing the Black Stars to comfortably come away with all three points on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
GhanaDrawMadagascar
51.11%24.86%24.02%
Both teams to score 51.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03%50.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16%72.84%
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06%19.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91%52.08%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02%35.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24%72.75%
Score Analysis
    Ghana 51.11%
    Madagascar 24.02%
    Draw 24.86%
GhanaDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.11%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.02%

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