Angola2 - 1Sudan
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Wednesday, September 4 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Angola 2-1 Sudan
Sudan have put together a fine run of results in recent outings but will need to be at their best against Angola who are currently firing on all cylinders. The Black Sable Antelopes' home advantage should give them an extra edge on Monday and we fancy them to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Angola in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Angola.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Sudan |
67.6% ( 0.64) | 21.61% ( -0.33) | 10.79% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 35.6% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
