Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 2-1 Libya Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Nigeria Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Benin 2-1 Rwanda
Rwanda have struggled to create chances and find the net in their opening two matches, and we believe that Benin have significantly more quality in attack to score more goals in this game, while also maintaining a solid defence, which is why we are predicting a home victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 41.3% . A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 28.61% .
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (7.65%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%) , while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (11.62%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benin would win this match.
Result Benin Draw Rwanda 41.3% ( 0.43) 30.09% ( 0.05) 28.61% ( -0.48)
Both teams to score 40.55% ( -0.32)
33.66% ( -0.28) 66.34% ( 0.28)
15.18% ( -0.19) 84.82% ( 0.19)
68.24% ( 0.1) 31.75% ( -0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.82% ( 0.12) 68.18% ( -0.12)
59.41% ( -0.56) 40.59% ( 0.56)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.81% ( -0.5) 77.18% ( 0.5)
Benin 41.3%
Rwanda 28.61%
Draw 30.08%
Benin Draw Rwanda 1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.3% 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.08% 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 28.61%
How you voted: Benin vs Rwanda
21
rhs 2.0
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