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World Cup
Benin national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Nigeria national football team

Benin
2 - 1
Nigeria

Dossou (37'), Mounie (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Onyedika (27')
Ismail (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Benin and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 1-0 Rwanda
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Nigeria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Benin 0-1 Nigeria

 After three consecutive draws, Nigeria are running out of lifelines in their ambition to make the 2026 World Cup finals. George will hope his players are decisive enough at La Felicia on Monday, keen to secure maximum points after a frustrating start in Group C. The Super Eagles undoubtedly have superior quality than their opponents but must execute optimally to notch their first victory at the fourth time of asking. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
BeninDrawNigeria
35.1% (0.204 0.2) 29.24% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 35.66% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 44.2% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.36% (-0.289 -0.29)62.64% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.79% (-0.211 -0.21)82.21% (0.212 0.21)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)33.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.36% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (-0.342 -0.34)33.33% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (-0.376 -0.38)69.95% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Benin 35.09%
    Nigeria 35.66%
    Draw 29.23%
BeninDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.23% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 12.34% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.66%

How you voted: Benin vs Nigeria

Benin
15.7%
Draw
17.1%
Nigeria
67.1%
70
rhs 2.0
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