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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Mauritania national football team

Egypt
2 - 0
Mauritania

Trezeguet (69'), Salah (79')
Rabia (47'), Attia (84'), Trezeguet (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ngom (51'), Hacen Houeibib (51'), Keita (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Egypt 3-0 Mauritania

 Egypt have a wealth of talent in their ranks, which is likely to prove too much for Mauritania to handle, and the hosts have demonstrated their ruthlessness in the AFCON qualifying campaign over the years, which is why we are predicting a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
EgyptDrawMauritania
63.59% (2.045 2.05) 22.45% (-0.951 -0.95) 13.96% (-1.089 -1.09)
Both teams to score 41.63% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09% (1.551 1.55)54.91% (-1.545 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (1.268 1.27)76.2% (-1.261 -1.26)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (1.282 1.28)16.76% (-1.275 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3% (2.238 2.24)46.7% (-2.231 -2.23)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.01% (-0.67 -0.67)49.99% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.35% (-0.471 -0.47)84.65% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 63.58%
    Mauritania 13.96%
    Draw 22.44%
EgyptDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 14.96% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 13.36% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.96% (0.509 0.51)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.251 0.25)
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.364 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 63.58%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.515 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.478 -0.48)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 13.96%

How you voted: Egypt vs Mauritania

Egypt
79.1%
Draw
11.6%
Mauritania
9.3%
43
rhs 2.0
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