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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Cape Verde national football team

Egypt
3 - 0
Cape Verde

Rabia (23'), Marmoush (45+1'), Adel (70')
Fathi (16'), El Shenawy (80'), Adel (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Duarte (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Egypt
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Cape Verde

All competitions
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Libya
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Egypt X-Y Cape Verde

 Egypt are seasonal performers when it comes to the AFCON qualifiers, losing just one of the last 12 AFCON qualifying matches making them favourites in this clash. Cape Verde have a solid defence and are now a force in African football – however, they have found it difficult to pick up results on the road against top oppositions, which is why we think the hosts will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
EgyptDrawCape Verde
61.07% (-1.005 -1.01) 22.37% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 16.56% (0.926 0.93)
Both teams to score 47.46% (1.679 1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (1.212 1.21)50.21% (-1.214 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (1.066 1.07)72.17% (-1.067 -1.07)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (0.078000000000003 0.08)15.98% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.71% (0.145 0.14)45.29% (-0.146 -0.15)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.48% (1.948 1.95)43.51% (-1.951 -1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (1.579 1.58)79.72% (-1.579 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 61.07%
    Cape Verde 16.56%
    Draw 22.37%
EgyptDrawCape Verde
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 11.69% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.162 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 61.07%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.254 0.25)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.56%

How you voted: Egypt vs Cape Verde

Egypt
88.0%
Draw
8.0%
Cape Verde
4.0%
100
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Cape Verde
2-2
Egypt
Tavares (45+1'), Teixeira (90+9')
Pina (71')
Trezeguet (50'), Mohamed (90+3')
Marmoush (63'), Hegazy (88')
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