Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 1pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Malawi3 - 0Burkina Faso
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Malawi
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-1 Senegal
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Malawi 0-1 Burkina Faso
Malawi have been the worst side in this group by some distance and we feel they will struggle to get anything against this Burkina Faso side, who will want to sign off from the competition with a victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Burkina Faso |
28.67% ( 2.32) | 27.76% ( 1.15) | 43.57% ( -3.47) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
