MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 22:52:28| >> :600:4731551:4731551:
Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Mozambique
2 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Guimaraes (5'), Macamo (73')
Guimaraes (38'), Ernan (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balde (24')
Balde (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Eswatini
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau

If history is anything to go by, then we can expect an entertaining clash in this one with both teams looking to build on their opening results.   We are also tipping Mozambique to give their fans reason to celebrate by claiming all three points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mozambique in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mozambique.

Result
MozambiqueDrawGuinea-Bissau
40.02% (0.303 0.3) 27.49% (-0.159 -0.16) 32.49% (-0.149 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.85% (0.42 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (0.547 0.55)56.71% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (0.438 0.44)77.67% (-0.443 -0.44)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.42999999999999 0.43)27.73% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.549 0.55)63.29% (-0.555 -0.56)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.17700000000001 0.18)32.4% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (0.201 0.2)68.91% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 40.02%
    Guinea-Bissau 32.48%
    Draw 27.48%
MozambiqueDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.02%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau

Mozambique
58.6%
Draw
20.7%
Guinea-Bissau
20.7%
29
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 1am
rhs 2.0
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