Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Botswana
51.53% ( 2.43)	27.54% ( 0.04)	20.93% ( -2.47)

Both teams to score 40.65% (

-2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.97% (

-2.02)

63.03% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.51% (

-1.49)

82.49% (

1.49)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

0.23)

24.82% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59% (

0.32)

59.41% (

-0.31)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.07% (

-3.73)

45.93% (

3.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.33% (

-3.06)

81.67% (

3.06)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 51.52%

Botswana 20.93%

Draw 27.53%

Mozambique	Draw	Botswana
1-0 @ 15.88% ( 1.25) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.94) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 51.52%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.64) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.55% Total : 20.93%