We said: Nigeria 2-0 Libya
Nigeria appear to have found their footing under interim manager Eguaveon, which is a concerning development for most opponents in Africa, as the Super Eagles possess a wealth of talent in their ranks – we anticipate a victory for the hosts against a Libya side lacking confidence.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.79%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.