MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 12:06:54| >> :600:4606417:4606417:
South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Liberia national football team

South Africa
2 - 2
Liberia

Foster (11' pen., 22')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hlongwane (68' og.), Sangare (90+1')
Njie (73'), Kamara (83')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between South Africa and Liberia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 79.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 4.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (13.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.65%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
South AfricaDrawLiberia
79.75% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 15.3% (-0.026 -0.03) 4.95% (-0.0088999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 27.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.051000000000002 0.05)52.6% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05)74.25% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)11.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.51% (0.051000000000002 0.05)35.49% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)68.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.4% (-0.0021000000000004 -0)94.59% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 79.73%
    Liberia 4.95%
    Draw 15.3%
South AfricaDrawLiberia
2-0 @ 18.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 16.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 13.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 79.73%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-1 @ 6.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 15.3%
0-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 4.95%

How you voted: South Africa vs Liberia

South Africa
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Liberia
10.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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