MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:47:53| >> :600:243303:243303:
Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Mali national football team

Eswatini
0 - 1
Mali


Tfomo (14'), Masangane (45+3'), (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bissouma (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Eswatini and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Eswatini
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Eswatini 0-1 Mali

 With Eswatini's recent record in competitive fixtures, it is hard to envision anything other than an away win for the highest-ranked team in Group I. Given that Mali also drew their opening game against Mozambique, they will know that anything other than a win here would be a huge disappointment, even with the number of players Mali have unavailable on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawMali
20.58% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 27.96% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 39.3% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.45% (0.072000000000003 0.07)64.55% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.57% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.78% (0.151 0.15)47.22% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.35% (0.113 0.11)82.65% (-0.114 -0.11)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)25.54% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)60.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 20.58%
    Mali 51.46%
    Draw 27.96%
EswatiniDrawMali
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.64% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 20.58%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 16.46% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 11.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 51.46%

How you voted: Eswatini vs Mali

Eswatini
29.6%
Draw
7.4%
Mali
63.0%
27
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!