MX23RW : Friday, January 31 04:39:57| >> :600:4838800:4838800:
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Somalia national football team

Eswatini
2 - 2
Somalia

Ndzinisa (48'), Owa Matsebula (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Awad (77'), Ahmed (86')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between Eswatini and Somalia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Somalia 0-3 Eswatini
Wednesday, March 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Somalia 0-3 Eswatini
Wednesday, March 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 7.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
EswatiniDrawSomalia
78.16% (-0.242 -0.24) 14.67% (0.191 0.19) 7.17% (0.0491 0.05)
Both teams to score 41.53% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (-0.732 -0.73)40.88% (0.729 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73% (-0.752 -0.75)63.27% (0.75 0.75)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (-0.229 -0.23)8.55% (0.2271 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.43% (-0.562 -0.56)29.57% (0.558 0.56)
Somalia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.41% (-0.366 -0.37)54.58% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.37% (-0.223 -0.22)87.63% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 78.15%
    Somalia 7.17%
    Draw 14.67%
EswatiniDrawSomalia
2-0 @ 14.11% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.12% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.31% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
5-0 @ 3.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.44% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 78.15%
1-1 @ 6.95% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 14.67%
0-1 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
1-2 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 7.17%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2024 7pm
Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Somalia
0-3
Eswatini
Figuaredo (33'), Ndzinisa (45+4'), Thwala (56')
rhs 2.0
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
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20Southampton2313191653-376


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