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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2022 at 2pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Niger national football team

Uganda
1 - 1
Niger

Karisa (43')
Bayo (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sabo (71')
Razak Seyni (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

Last Six:
Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Niger

Last Six:
Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Algeria vs. Niger
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Ghana347
2Mali304
3Congo DR303
4Niger3-41

We said: Uganda 2-1 Niger

 Both teams already have some catching up to do after failing to win their opening games, so we expect a keenly-contested affair in this one. We are also tipping the hosts to scrape a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Niger had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
UgandaDrawNiger
41.36% (0.697 0.7) 26.57% (0.141 0.14) 32.08% (-0.83499999999999 -0.83)
Both teams to score 51.55% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (-0.787 -0.79)53.23% (0.791 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (-0.672 -0.67)74.79% (0.675 0.67)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.2% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.953 -0.95)30.9% (0.956 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-1.137 -1.14)67.19% (1.139 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 41.35%
    Niger 32.08%
    Draw 26.57%
UgandaDrawNiger
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.35%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.241 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Uganda vs Niger

Uganda
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Niger
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2018 9pm
Niger
2-1
Uganda
Kamilou (40'), Zakari (56')
Nicholas (85')
rhs 2.0
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