MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 12:53:03| >> :600:3485986:3485986:
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
Tanzania national football team

Uganda
0 - 1
Tanzania


Kayondo (38'), Mugulusi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Msuva (68')
Mao (84'), Nondo (89')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Uganda and Tanzania.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 1-3 Ivory Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
UgandaDrawTanzania
45.88% (-0.316 -0.32) 28.47% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 25.66% (0.311 0.31)
Both teams to score 42.81% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (0.143 0.14)62.67% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.78% (0.106 0.11)82.23% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)27.4% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-0.123 -0.12)62.88% (0.129 0.13)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96% (0.362 0.36)41.04% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41% (0.321 0.32)77.59% (-0.315 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 45.87%
    Tanzania 25.65%
    Draw 28.45%
UgandaDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 14.55% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 45.87%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 25.65%

How you voted: Uganda vs Tanzania

Uganda
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Tanzania
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 6pm
International Friendly
Tanzania
1-0
Uganda
Msuva (29')
Kakolanya (71')
Dec 9, 2021
4.30pm
rhs 2.0
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