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Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Ivory Coast national football team

Zambia
3 - 0
Ivory Coast

Aurier (31' og.), Daka (48'), Kangwa (55')
Kabwe (60'), Sakala (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zambia and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kuwait 3-0 Zambia
Monday, June 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Zambia 1-1 Ivory Coast

 After a poor start to the campaign, Zambia have turned their fortune around in style and are now on the cusp of a return to the continental tournament. Ivory Coast head into the weekend with a star-studded squad, but we predict that the Chipolopolo will hold out for a draw in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawIvory Coast
31.83% (1.742 1.74) 29.18% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 38.98% (-1.767 -1.77)
Both teams to score 43.92% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.23% (0.305 0.31)62.77% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.7% (0.221 0.22)82.3% (-0.22 -0.22)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (1.481 1.48)36.07% (-1.479 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (1.48 1.48)72.85% (-1.478 -1.48)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (-0.893 -0.89)31.3% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (-1.051 -1.05)67.66% (1.052 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 31.83%
    Ivory Coast 38.98%
    Draw 29.17%
ZambiaDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 6.82% (0.298 0.3)
2-0 @ 5.87% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 2.32% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 2% (0.207 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 11.28% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 13.11% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.62% (-0.475 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 38.98%

How you voted: Zambia vs Ivory Coast

Zambia
35.9%
Draw
17.9%
Ivory Coast
46.2%
39
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
3-1
Zambia
Aurier (67'), Kouame (76'), Sangare (89')
Sangare (45'), Boly (81')
Daka (90+4')
Mwepu (75'), Sakala (81')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2019 1.30pm
International Friendlies
Zambia
1-4
Ivory Coast
Sakala (13' pen.)
Kodjia (29'), Michael Seri (41'), Cornet (57'), Bony (84')
Kessie (51')
Jan 18, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
0-2
Zambia

Yao (69')
Mulenga (8', 74')
Silwimba (71')
rhs 2.0
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