Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Zambia3 - 0Ivory Coast
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kuwait 3-0 Zambia
Monday, June 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Monday, June 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Zambia 1-1 Ivory Coast
After a poor start to the campaign, Zambia have turned their fortune around in style and are now on the cusp of a return to the continental tournament. Ivory Coast head into the weekend with a star-studded squad, but we predict that the Chipolopolo will hold out for a draw in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
31.83% ( 1.74) | 29.18% ( 0.03) | 38.98% ( -1.77) |
Both teams to score 43.92% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.23% ( 0.31) | 62.77% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.7% ( 0.22) | 82.3% ( -0.22) |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% ( 1.48) | 36.07% ( -1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.15% ( 1.48) | 72.85% ( -1.48) |
Ivory Coast Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.7% ( -0.89) | 31.3% ( 0.9) |