Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Angola
1 - 1
Zimbabwe

Gelson (24')
Cafumana (4'), Luvumbo (76'), Maestro (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Musona (45+6')
Lunga (38'), Lunga (39'), Dube (49'), Fabisch (61'), (82'), Wadi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Angola and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Angola 1-1 Zimbabwe
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Angola vs. Egypt
Monday, December 29 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Zimbabwe

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Angola 1-1 Zimbabwe
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Zimbabwe vs. South Africa
Monday, December 29 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.81% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Angola	Draw	Zimbabwe
53.59% ( -0.09)	26.81% ( 0.01)	19.6% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 40.75% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.02% (

0.03)

61.98% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.28% (

0.02)

81.72% (

-0.03)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

-0.03)

23.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

-0.04)

57.42% (

0.04)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.21% (

0.11)

46.79% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.67% (

0.08)

82.32% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Angola 53.58%

Zimbabwe 19.6%

Draw 26.8%

Angola	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 15.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 53.58%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.6%