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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
Congo DR national football team

Egypt
1 - 1
Congo DR

Mohamed (45+1' pen.)
Fathi (58'), Hamdy (66'), Attia (80')
Hamdy (97')
FT
(aet)
Elia (37')
Batubinsika (45'), Bongonda (102'), Mbemba (115')
Congo DR win 8-7 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-2 Egypt
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tanzania 0-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We say: Egypt 2-1 Congo DR

 The seven-time AFCON champions have been far from impressive in this tournament, and there will be a fair few nerves heading into this match. While Congo DR have not set the stage alight in this competition, they have shown tremendous resilience and will likely try to keep this match level for as long as possible, which could open up gaps in the Egyptian defence on the counter-attack. This match could easily go the distance, but we are backing the Egyptians to progress when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.46%).

Result
EgyptDrawCongo DR
61.79% (-0.167 -0.17) 23.9% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 14.31% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 38.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)59.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)79.7% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)19.01% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.42% (-0.121 -0.12)50.58% (0.122 0.12)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.88% (0.146 0.15)52.12% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.91% (0.093999999999999 0.09)86.08% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 61.78%
    Congo DR 14.31%
    Draw 23.89%
EgyptDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 16.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.65% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 14.31%

How you voted: 2nd Group B vs 2nd Group F

2nd Group B
75.9%
Draw
11.1%
2nd Group F
13.0%
54
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2019 9pm
Group Stage
Egypt
2-0
Congo DR
> Match Report
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