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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Congo DR national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
 
Zambia national football team

Congo DR
1 - 1
Zambia

Wissa (27')
Kalulu (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kangwa (23')
Banda (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Congo DR and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Burkina Faso
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Zambia

All competitions
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Congo DR 0-1 Zambia

 With Morocco being heavily fancied to top Group F, Congo DR and Zambia are expected to battle it out for the second automatic qualification spot, which makes getting a result here extremely important. Chipolopolo have the better form coming into this match, and with greater firepower in attack, we fancy them to edge this match, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Congo DRDrawZambia
38.12% (0.4 0.4) 28.26% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 33.61% (-0.325 -0.33)
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64% (0.235 0.23)59.36% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25% (0.18 0.18)79.75% (-0.179 -0.18)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.35599999999999 0.36)30.11% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (0.426 0.43)66.25% (-0.426 -0.43)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.99% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.109 -0.11)69.58% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 38.12%
    Zambia 33.61%
    Draw 28.26%
Congo DRDrawZambia
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.12%
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 11.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.61%

How you voted: Congo DR vs Zambia

Congo DR
50.5%
Draw
15.5%
Zambia
34.0%
97
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2015 4pm
Group Stage
Zambia
1-1
Congo DR
Singuluma (2')
Sunzu (31'), Singuluma (68'), Sinkala (82')
Bolasie (66')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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