Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 30, 2025 at 4pm UK

Uganda
vs.
Nigeria

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Uganda and Nigeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Tunisia 3-1 Uganda
Tuesday, December 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Saturday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Nigeria

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Nigeria vs. Tunisia
Saturday, December 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw has a probability of 25.57% and a win for Uganda has a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Uganda win it is 1-0 (7.8%).

Result
Uganda	Draw	Nigeria
22.72% ( -5.39)	25.57% ( -1.62)	51.72% ( 7.01)

Both teams to score 47.75% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.14% (

2.25)

54.87% (

-2.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

1.83)

76.16% (

-1.82)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.64% (

-3.5)

39.37% (

3.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.94% (

-3.43)

76.07% (

3.43)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

4.19)

21.25% (

-4.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84% (

6.1)

54.16% (

-6.09)

Score Analysis

Uganda 22.72%

Nigeria 51.71%

Draw 25.56%

Uganda	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 7.8% ( -1.56) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.94) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -1.16) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.51) Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.72%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.73) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.76) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 10.03% ( 1.48) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.59) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 1.28) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.83) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.67) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.5) Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.71%