MX23RW : Monday, January 6 01:29:52| >> :120:5873:5873:
Algeria national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Ethiopia national football team

Algeria
1 - 0
Ethiopia

Mahious (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Panomo (75'), Debebe (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia

Riding on the wave of the home support, Algeria have an impressive added advantage here and will be looking to back up Friday's display with another show of class. While we expect Ethiopia to put up a fight, we are backing Bougherra's side to pick up where they dropped off and claim all three points on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 10.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.56%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match.

Result
AlgeriaDrawEthiopia
69.78% (0.173 0.17) 19.65% (-0.202 -0.2) 10.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 39.87% (0.65499999999999 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38% (0.852 0.85)51.62% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (0.736 0.74)73.41% (-0.735 -0.73)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32% (0.321 0.32)13.68% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.1% (0.63 0.63)40.9% (-0.628 -0.63)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.19% (0.59 0.59)53.8% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.85% (0.363 0.36)87.15% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 69.78%
    Ethiopia 10.57%
    Draw 19.65%
AlgeriaDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 14.64% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 14.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 9.66% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.8% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.089 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.067 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 69.78%
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 2.8% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.56% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 10.57%

How you voted: Algeria vs Ethiopia

Algeria
79.2%
Draw
16.7%
Ethiopia
4.2%
24
rhs 2.0
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