MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:33:28| >> :60:1432:1432:
Algeria national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Libya national football team

Algeria
1 - 0
Libya

Mahious (57' pen.)
Laouafi (90+1'), Aribi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Abbasi (66'), Salama (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Senegal
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Algeria 2-1 Libya

Buoyed by their home supporters, Algeria should be fully up for this one and will back themselves to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. We can see the hosts emerging triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 6.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.93%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.28%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
AlgeriaDrawLibya
74.81% (0.158 0.16) 18.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 6.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 28.99% (-0.923 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.42% (-0.747 -0.75)57.57% (0.749 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.65% (-0.596 -0.6)78.35% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-0.187 -0.19)14% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (-0.368 -0.37)41.53% (0.369 0.37)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.71% (-0.998 -1)66.29% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.45% (-0.417 -0.42)93.54% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 74.8%
    Libya 6.74%
    Draw 18.44%
AlgeriaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 18.25% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 17.93% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 11.75% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 74.8%
0-0 @ 9.28% (0.262 0.26)
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 1.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.44%
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 6.74%

How you voted: Algeria vs Libya

Algeria
69.8%
Draw
14.0%
Libya
16.3%
43
rhs 2.0
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