MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 23:27:29| >> :60:1655:1655:
Cameroon national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
Congo national football team

Cameroon
1 - 0
Congo

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bassinga (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's African Nations Championship clash between Cameroon and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Brazil
Friday, December 2 at 7pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Cameroon 1-0 Congo

Cameroon and Congo have developed a knack for playing out low-scoring affairs, so we expect another one here. That said, we also fancy Cameroon to just about come away with three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 70.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Congo had a probability of 10.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.48%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cameroon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cameroon.

Result
CameroonDrawCongo
70.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.17% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02% (0.012 0.01)39.97% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.16% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)87.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cameroon 70.6%
    Congo 10.17%
    Draw 19.21%
CameroonDrawCongo
2-0 @ 14.65%
1-0 @ 14.48%
3-0 @ 9.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.21%
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 10.17%

How you voted: Cameroon vs Congo

Cameroon
83.9%
Draw
12.9%
Congo
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2020 2.30pm
International Friendlies
Congo
1-1
Cameroon
Mouandzibi (87')
Thierry Akono Akono (36')
Jan 16, 2018 7.30pm
Group D
Cameroon
0-1
Congo

Gwot Kalati (71'), Awono (80'), Owundi Eko'o (84')
Makiesse (73' pen.)
Loussoukou (40')
rhs 2.0
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