Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.