Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.