Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.