MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:13:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Jul 31, 2023 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmo)

Malmo
3 - 1
Varnamo

Kiese Thelin (24', 90+3'), Rieks (73')
Lewicki (49'), Busanello (52'), Bolin (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Johansson (27')
Larsson (43'), Junior Adjei (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Varnamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AIK 0-0 Malmo
Sunday, July 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-0 Hacken
Saturday, July 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 1-0 Varnamo

Even though Varnamo have proved no pushovers on the road, a motivated Malmo side has a point to prove following recent results - and they can move within one point of top spot with victory on Monday. A record of six wins from eight at home this year also confirms that the hosts are justifiable favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawVarnamo
70.15% (0.155 0.16) 17.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 12.21% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.656 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41% (-0.566 -0.57)38.59% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11% (-0.599 -0.6)60.89% (0.59500000000001 0.6)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.14% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)9.86% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.3% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)32.7% (0.256 0.26)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (-0.655 -0.66)42.54% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (-0.565 -0.57)78.9% (0.562 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 70.15%
    Varnamo 12.21%
    Draw 17.64%
MalmoDrawVarnamo
2-0 @ 11.25% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.69% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.04% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.053 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 70.15%
1-1 @ 8.31% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 17.64%
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: Malmo vs Varnamo

Malmo
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Varnamo
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Varnamo
1-3
Malmo
Engvall (2')
Ali (35', 75'), Nanasi (88')
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Apr 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Varnamo
0-0
Malmo
Nasstrom (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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