MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:15:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Independiente

Defensa
2 - 1
Independiente

Duarte (28'), Frias (64' pen.)
Duarte (33'), Gutierrez (51')
Gutierrez (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vigo (90+1')
Marcone (13'), Romero (36'), Pozzo (64'), Rodriguez (62'), Fernandez (72'), Vigo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Defensa
Friday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente

 There is very little to separate the sides right now, and we expect a tight affair in this one with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
46.32% (0.604 0.6) 26.82% (0.199 0.2) 26.86% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-1.13 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59% (-1.184 -1.18)56.41% (1.183 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.965 -0.97)77.42% (0.964 0.96)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)24.33% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.326 -0.33)58.71% (0.325 0.33)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (-1.296 -1.3)36.5% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (-1.331 -1.33)73.29% (1.33 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 46.32%
    Independiente 26.86%
    Draw 26.82%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Defensa vs Independiente

Defensa y Justicia
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Independiente
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 1.15am
Independiente
0-0
Defensa

Velasco (29'), Manuel Insaurralde (29'), Blanco (82')
Blanco (90+3')

Tripichio (16'), Contreras (26'), Gutierrez (38'), Silva (53'), Soto (57'), Rivero (65')
Apr 18, 2021 10pm
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Barreto (77')
Palacios (82')

Romero (18'), Pizzini (47'), Escalante (90+6')
Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm
Zone Two
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')
Nov 15, 2020 9.45pm
Zone Two
Defensa
0-0
Independiente

Acevedo (39'), Frias (44'), Paredes (89')

Rodriguez (27'), Barboza (37'), Franco (57'), Romero (78')
Jul 28, 2019 9.45pm
Defensa
0-1
Independiente

Herrera (23'), Benitez (25'), Fernandez (26'), Merlini (86'), Piovi (90')
Palacios (33')
Figal (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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