MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:02:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Estudiantes

Independiente
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Benegas (52'), Fernandez (57' pen.)
Vigo (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Godoy (82')
Rodriguez (30'), Spetale (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Estudiantes

 Estudiantes seem to have found the right balance to be successful this season, and their tight defensive setup might be challenging for Independiente to break down, while El Leon make the majority of their opportunities count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
50.92% (-0.907 -0.91) 25.81% (0.217 0.22) 23.27% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (-0.18 -0.18)55.27% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.148 -0.15)76.5% (0.151 0.15)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.458 -0.46)21.75% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.706 -0.71)54.94% (0.708 0.71)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.568 0.57)39.06% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.527 0.53)75.78% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 50.92%
    Estudiantes 23.27%
    Draw 25.81%
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.177 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.27%

How you voted: Independiente vs Estudiantes

Independiente
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Estudiantes
58.3%
24
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
2-1
Independiente
Boselli (46'), Rogel (53')
Del Prete (20')
Laso (61')
Laso (20'), Benavidez (22'), Fernandez (82')
Jul 26, 2021 12.15am
Estudiantes
0-1
Independiente
Manuel Insaurralde (15')
May 15, 2021 9.30pm
Estudiantes
0-0
Independiente
 Independiente win 4-1 on penalties

Rogel (33'), Apaolaza (75'), Sabbag (86')

Ortega (50'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Ortega (59')
Aug 20, 2019 12am
Estudiantes
3-0
Independiente
Gonzalez (47'), Garcia (72'), Kalinski (83')
Mura (18'), Kalinski (37')

Figal (18'), Barboza (45')
Sep 2, 2018 5.15pm
Estudiantes
2-2
Independiente
Apaolaza (7'), Pellegrini (26')
Luguercio (28'), Erquiaga (36'), Pellegrini (51'), Zuqui (72'), Pavone (86')
Romero (49'), Romero (56')
Figal (44'), Romero (62'), Bustos (67'), Silva (72'), Hernandez (91')
Figal (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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