Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
We said: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Independiente
Both sides have already drawn their fair share of games so far this season, and it would not be a surprise if they cancel each other out on Saturday.
Godoy Cruz have a very good recent home record, so if either team is to emerge with the three points, it is likely to be them, but Independiente have shown real signs of improvement, and should be good enough to get a point.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 43.89% . A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.77% .
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (7.25%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%) , while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.63%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
Result Godoy Cruz Draw Independiente 43.89% ( -0.63) 31.34% ( 0.02) 24.77% ( 0.61)
Both teams to score 35.77% ( 0.36)
28.97% ( 0.21) 71.03% ( -0.21)
12.11% ( 0.13) 87.88% ( -0.13)
67.26% ( -0.25) 32.73% ( 0.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.71% ( -0.28) 69.29% ( 0.28)
53.18% ( 0.73) 46.82% ( -0.73)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.65% ( 0.55) 82.35% ( -0.55)
Godoy Cruz 43.88%
Independiente 24.77%
Draw 31.33%
Godoy Cruz Draw Independiente 1-0 @ 17.11% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.88% 0-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.27% Total : 31.33% 0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.77%
rhs 2.0
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