Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
May 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Arsenal2 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Arsenal
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Tigre
Saturday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 35.01%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Independiente |
34.24% ( 0.16) | 30.74% ( 0.14) | 35.01% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 40.21% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.63% ( -0.41) | 67.36% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.49% ( -0.28) | 85.51% ( 0.28) |
Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.14% ( -0.12) | 36.85% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( -0.12) | 73.64% ( 0.12) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.68% ( -0.44) | 36.31% ( 0.44) |