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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Sep 24, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
San Lorenzo

Lanus
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

Di Placido (31'), Blando (54')
Di Placido (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hernandez (27')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Banfield 1-2 Lanus
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

Last Six:
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, September 18 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.74%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawSan Lorenzo
39.26% (0.51 0.51) 30.83% (0.087 0.09) 29.91% (-0.598 -0.6)
Both teams to score 39.3% (-0.379 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.9% (-0.365 -0.36)68.09% (0.363 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14% (-0.243 -0.24)86% (0.242 0.24)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.121 0.12)33.92% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.133 0.13)70.59% (-0.134 -0.13)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-0.687 -0.69)40.53% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86% (-0.626 -0.63)77.13% (0.626 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 39.25%
    San Lorenzo 29.91%
    Draw 30.82%
LanusDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.86% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.25%
0-0 @ 13.74% (0.18 0.18)
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.82%
0-1 @ 12.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 29.91%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 8.45pm
San Lorenzo
1-3
Lanus
Herrera (13')
Sabella (44'), Gordillo (52'), (75'), Fernandez (86')
Acosta (40'), De la Vega (80'), Gonzalez (90+3')
De la Vega (83'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Mar 8, 2020 8.35pm
San Lorenzo
4-3
Lanus
Rodriguez (15'), Bareiro (57', 70'), Herrera (76')
Poblete (19'), Herrera (71')
Munoz (45'), Sand (51' pen., 64')
Perez (35'), Moreno (60'), Bernabei (65'), Di Placido (67'), Quignon (75'), De la Vega (90')
Aug 19, 2018 9.45pm
San Lorenzo
2-2
Lanus
Botta (26'), Blandi (37')
Salazar (17'), Barrios (50'), Senesi (61'), Poblete (90')
Ribas (42'), Thaller (46')
Maciel (31'), Belmonte (59')
rhs 2.0
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