MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:06:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
San Lorenzo

Newell's OB
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Eduardo Recalde (77')
Mosquera (50'), Perez (74'), Eduardo Recalde (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 1-1 Newell's OB
Tuesday, March 14 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 4-0 Gimnasia
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Newell's Old Boys 0-1 San Lorenzo

The last eight matches between these sides have been decided by a goal or fewer, and given how strong they both are defensively, we expect another cagey affair on Monday. We believe the visitors have the edge because they have created more scoring opportunities and are finding the back of the net with a lot more consistency than Old Boys. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.98%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawSan Lorenzo
39.26% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59) 32.28% (0.19 0.19) 28.45% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 35.62% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.83% (-0.374 -0.37)72.17% (0.37 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.41% (-0.231 -0.23)88.59% (0.227 0.23)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (-0.59 -0.59)36.18% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-0.604 -0.6)72.97% (0.599 0.6)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81% (0.111 0.11)44.18% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72% (0.089000000000002 0.09)80.27% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 39.26%
    San Lorenzo 28.44%
    Draw 32.27%
Newell's Old BoysDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.26%
0-0 @ 15.98% (0.22 0.22)
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 32.27%
0-1 @ 13.05% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs San Lorenzo

Newell's Old Boys
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
San Lorenzo
42.9%
35
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 12am
Newell's OB
0-0
San Lorenzo

Fernandez (58')
Lema (63')

Elias (17'), Gattoni (28'), Alan Hernandez (44'), Cerutti (65')
Apr 28, 2022 12.30am
Newell's OB
1-2
San Lorenzo
Lema (68')
Gonzalez (26'), Giani (43'), Perez (52'), Rossi (90+6')
Martegani (22'), Gattoni (61')
Gordillo (67')
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
San Lorenzo
3-2
Newell's OB
Ortigoza (34' pen.), Di Santo (45+2', 47')
Cerutti (40'), Rosane (42'), Garcia (75'), Sabella (86'), Zapata (89')
Sabella (90+5')
Gonzalez (6'), Fernandez (42')
Escobar (2'), Calcaterra (17'), Perez (43')
Bittolo (18'), Calcaterra (84')
Feb 4, 2020 12.10am
Newell's OB
1-0
San Lorenzo
Moreno (71')
Lema (36'), Fernandez (74'), Bittolo (87')

Peralta Bauer (76')
Feb 16, 2019 8.10pm
San Lorenzo
1-1
Newell's OB
Blandi (45')
Castellani (69')
Rodriguez (92')
Insaurralde (12'), Formica (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Atletico TucumanTucuman219662121033
6Racing ClubRacing209472820831
7River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16Rosario CentralRosario216782321225
17GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
18Boca Juniors206772122-125
19Independiente Rivadavia216781421-725
20San Lorenzo206681618-224
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento214981521-621
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!