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Patronato
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Oct 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
0 - 1
River Plate


Medina (27'), Castro (28'), Estigarribia (41'), Nahuel Banega (73'), Giani (89'), Altamirano (90+2')
Castro (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Borja (54')
Diaz (45'), Solari (66'), Mammana (68'), Paradela (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 1-0 Patronato
Wednesday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 5-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, October 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawRiver Plate
15.91% (0.105 0.11) 21.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 62.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.165 0.16)48.73% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.148 0.15)70.84% (-0.149 -0.15)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.53% (0.23500000000001 0.24)43.47% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.195 0.2)79.69% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.02000000000001 0.02)15.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)43.58% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 15.91%
    River Plate 62.35%
    Draw 21.73%
PatronatoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.3% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.91%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 12.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.17% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 62.35%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2022 12.30am
River Plate
4-1
Patronato
Alvarez (21', 31', 50'), Quintero (79' pen.)
Diaz (6' og.)
Gudino (25'), Quintana (39')
Nov 7, 2021 11.15pm
River Plate
5-0
Patronato
Palavecino (13'), Alvarez (30', 37', 41', 74')

Geminiani (58')
Oct 6, 2019 9.45pm
River Plate
2-0
Patronato
Borre (59', 60')
Perez (74')

Aruga (42'), Lemos (81')
Jan 27, 2019 10.20pm
River Plate
1-3
Patronato
Ferreira (63')
Palacios (69')
Avalos (13', 36', 54')
Carabajal (27'), Comas (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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