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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Atletico Tucuman

River Plate
1 - 0
Tucuman

Rondon (90+4')
Diaz (12'), Lanzini (37'), de la Cruz (41'), Borja (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez (51'), De La Fuente (69'), Castro Ponce (74'), Carrera (76')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, September 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 11.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawAtletico Tucuman
68.57% (1.942 1.94) 19.81% (-0.571 -0.57) 11.62% (-1.373 -1.37)
Both teams to score 42.69% (-2.274 -2.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (-0.809 -0.81)49.72% (0.807 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (-0.728 -0.73)71.73% (0.726 0.73)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (0.331 0.33)13.46% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (0.663 0.66)40.45% (-0.664 -0.66)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.33% (-2.828 -2.83)50.67% (2.826 2.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.88% (-2.003 -2)85.11% (2.001 2)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 68.56%
    Atletico Tucuman 11.62%
    Draw 19.81%
River PlateDrawAtletico Tucuman
2-0 @ 13.71% (0.77 0.77)
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.6 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-0 @ 9.17% (0.618 0.62)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.6% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.205 -0.21)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.166 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 68.56%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.339 -0.34)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.35 -0.35)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.81%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.392 -0.39)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 11.62%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 14
Tucuman
1-1
River Plate
Coronel (15')
Pereyra (87' og.)
Jun 12, 2022 12.30am
Apr 24, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 12
River Plate
1-1
Tucuman
Fernandez (45+2' pen.)
Diaz (34'), Herrera (79')
Ruiz (58')
Orihuela (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Tucuman
1-1
River Plate
Cabral (6')
Carrera (21')
Alvarez (62')
Palavecino (20'), Zuculini (66')
Mar 8, 2020 12am
Gameweek 23
Tucuman
1-1
River Plate
Toledo (19')
Erbes (23'), Aguirre (31'), Luis Fernandez (33'), Acosta (75')
Suarez (35')
De La Cruz (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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