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Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
3 - 1
River Plate

Mercado (70'), Patrick (78')
Aranguiz (58'), Vitao (63'), Wanderson (65'), Patrick (81'), Rochet (86')
FT
(aet)
Rojas (90')
Armani (53'), Solari (58'), Gonzalez Pirez (77')
Internacional win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Internacional 1-1 River Plate (River Plate win 3-2 on aggregate)

The River Plate backline have left a lot to be desired at the Libertadores this year, but they seem to be able to put it all together in these knockout stage affairs, and we believe their dynamic attack and experience in these big games will carry them into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).

Result
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
37.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 37.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)49.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.7% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)60.62% (0.012 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)25.82% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.055 -0.05)60.78% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 37.23%
    River Plate 37.02%
    Draw 25.74%
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.02%

How you voted: Internacional vs River Plate

Internacional
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
River Plate
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
River Plate
2-1
Internacional
Solari (65', 79')
Fernandez (28'), Gonzalez Pirez (45')
Valencia (45+1')
Bustos (20'), Mercado (56'), Aranguiz (62'), Cardoso (69'), Henrique (90+2')
May 8, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-2
Internacional
Alvarez (35'), Pratto (93')
Lollo (58'), Pratto (80')
Sobis (44', 59')
Sobis (44'), Moledo (94'), Cuesta (94')
Apr 3, 2019 11.15pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-2
River Plate
Lopez (18'), Edenilson (31')
D'Alessandro (39'), Edenilson (41'), Lopez (45'), Dourado (71')
Pratto (42' pen.), De La Cruz (61')
Martinez (29'), De La Cruz (65'), Montiel (69'), Mayada (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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