MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:04:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Defensa y Justicia

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 0
Defensa

Fernandez (22'), Aquino (56', 59')
Gomez (12'), Caseres (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramos Mingo (45+2'), Ferreira (57'), Molinas (72'), Lopez (79')
Soto (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-2 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-3 Platense
Monday, July 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Defensa y Justicia

 Velez Sarsfield will head into this one with the wind in their sails and unsurprisingly so given recent results. Defensa y Justicia, on the other hand, are in need of a pick-me-up, but we expect their misery to continue at the sound of the final whistle here, with the home side claiming a relatively routine triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
46.03% (0.301 0.3) 28.21% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 25.76% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 43.53% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.2% (0.17 0.17)61.79% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.41% (0.126 0.13)81.58% (-0.126 -0.13)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.23599999999999 0.24)26.91% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.308 0.31)62.24% (-0.308 -0.31)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)40.44% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (-0.081 -0.08)77.05% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 46.02%
    Defensa y Justicia 25.76%
    Draw 28.2%
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.28%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa

Velez Sarsfield
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Defensa y Justicia
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 12am
Gameweek 9
Defensa
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jun 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Defensa
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (88')
Cardona (27'), Gutierrez (39'), Soto (67')
Garayalde (90')
Gomez (25'), Ortega (49'), Garayalde (90+5')
> Preview
Jul 28, 2021 8.30pm
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Defensa
Centurion (37'), Andres Romero (52'), Caseres (78')
Paredes (22'), Rotondi (39')
Mar 28, 2021 8.15pm
First Phase
Defensa
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (19')
Jeremias Fernandez (22'), Escalante (73'), Meza (82')
Jeremias Fernandez (43')
Tarragona (61')
Alvarez (22'), Mancuello (69'), Gianetti (75'), Tarragona (90+2')
Amor (56')
Sep 29, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Defensa

Gimenez (49')
Marquez (58')
Cesar Gonzalez Trinidad (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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