MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 03:27:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Rosario

Osorio (87')
Bouzat (39'), Aquino (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sandez (27'), Ortiz (46'), Martinez (57'), Mallo (83')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, March 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 2-0 Rosario
Friday, March 1 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
53.08% (-0.956 -0.96) 27.11% (0.435 0.43) 19.81% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 40.34% (-0.324 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.32% (-0.824 -0.82)62.68% (0.827 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (-0.604 -0.6)82.23% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (-0.78 -0.78)23.96% (0.782 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (-1.131 -1.13)58.19% (1.134 1.13)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.04% (0.118 0.12)46.96% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.54% (0.088000000000001 0.09)82.46% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 53.07%
    Rosario Central 19.81%
    Draw 27.1%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 16.07% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 11.25% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 4.59% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.81%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 12.45am
Gameweek 9
Rosario
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Lovera (68' pen.)
Malcorra (54'), Martinez (79')
Castro (29')
Gomez (37'), Castro (56'), Pizzini (66'), Caseres (90+5')
May 16, 2023 12.30am
Jun 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 2
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
rhs 2.0
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