MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:08:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2023 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Lovera (68' pen.)
Malcorra (54'), Martinez (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castro (29')
Gomez (37'), Castro (56'), Pizzini (66'), Caseres (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Huracan
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-1 Tucuman
Tuesday, October 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Rosario Central 1-0 Velez Sarsfield

While Rosario Central's overall record this season has been average at best, they are a different side at home and will fancy their chances of claiming another scalp here. We are expecting a tight contest but feel that the hosts will claim the points, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
45.53% (1.113 1.11) 29.07% (-0.612 -0.61) 25.4% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 41.17% (1.096 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.37% (1.543 1.54)64.63% (-1.545 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.37% (1.07 1.07)83.63% (-1.073 -1.07)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (1.364 1.36)28.53% (-1.367 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (1.681 1.68)64.31% (-1.682 -1.68)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (0.441 0.44)42.4% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (0.376 0.38)78.78% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 45.53%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.39%
    Draw 29.05%
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.17% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.178 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 12.09% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.05%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Rosario vs Velez Sarsfield

Rosario Central
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Velez Sarsfield
42.9%
7
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 12.30am
Jun 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 2
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Plate Final
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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