MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:24:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2023 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Lovera (68' pen.)
Malcorra (54'), Martinez (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castro (29')
Gomez (37'), Castro (56'), Pizzini (66'), Caseres (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Huracan
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-1 Tucuman
Tuesday, October 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Rosario Central 1-0 Velez Sarsfield

 While Rosario Central's overall record this season has been average at best, they are a different side at home and will fancy their chances of claiming another scalp here. We are expecting a tight contest but feel that the hosts will claim the points, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
45.53% (1.113 1.11) 29.07% (-0.612 -0.61) 25.4% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 41.17% (1.096 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.37% (1.543 1.54)64.63% (-1.545 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.37% (1.07 1.07)83.63% (-1.073 -1.07)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (1.364 1.36)28.53% (-1.367 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (1.681 1.68)64.31% (-1.682 -1.68)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (0.441 0.44)42.4% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (0.376 0.38)78.78% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 45.53%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.39%
    Draw 29.05%
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.17% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.178 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 12.09% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.05%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Rosario vs Velez Sarsfield

Rosario Central
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Velez Sarsfield
42.9%
7
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Rosario
Jun 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')
> Preview
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 2
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Plate Final
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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