Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rukh Brest had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Rukh Brest win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.