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Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 17, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly
Vasco da Gama

Atletico GO
0 - 1
Vasco


Martins (16'), Janderson (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David (51')
Moura (30'), Carvalho (45'), Rayan (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Goianiense and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Vasco da Gama

Given the managerial change in Goias, the home side are due a turnaround sooner rather than later, and they seek that against a team that had a wretched sequence of road results before that win at Internacional. Both clubs should cancel out the other in a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
51.56% (-0.688 -0.69) 24.85% (0.227 0.23) 23.58% (0.455 0.45)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (-0.486 -0.49)51.3% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (-0.427 -0.43)73.12% (0.42200000000001 0.42)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.467 -0.47)19.88% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (-0.757 -0.76)52% (0.751 0.75)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (0.15 0.15)36.55% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (0.15 0.15)73.33% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 51.55%
    Vasco da Gama 23.59%
    Draw 24.84%
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.169 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 2% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.59%

How you voted: Atletico GO vs Vasco

Atletico Goianiense
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Vasco da Gama
50.0%
36
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2021 12am
Sep 11, 2020 1am
Gameweek 9
Vasco
1-2
Atletico GO
Paiva (51')
Victor (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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