Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Aug 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 0Cuiaba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Cuiaba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Flamengo
Monday, August 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Monday, August 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Cuiaba |
53.09% ( 0.03) | 25.72% ( -0.12) | 21.19% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 45.51% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.15% ( 0.51) | 56.85% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.22% ( 0.41) | 77.78% ( -0.41) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% ( 0.22) | 21.48% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.48% ( 0.34) | 54.52% ( -0.34) |
Cuiaba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.96% ( 0.39) | 42.04% ( -0.39) |