Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.
-2.9) 
0.9) 
